Salary Increases vs SP500 Profits

For this article, I simulated two fictional characters. Pierre and Jaquier.

I imagined that 5 years ago, Peter received a salary of $65,000. And he got an annual raise of $2% for 5 years.

On the other hand, Jaquier had $65,000 in the VOO ETF 5 years ago. It is an ETF that replicates the S&P500. That is, the 500 best stocks in the American stock market. And he let his money grow without adding anything.

For this exercise, I relied on the moneyland percentage calculator1. I simply put in an initial amount of $65,000 and updated the salary by 2 % each year for 5 years.

YearSalaryAmount won compared to 65,000 Dollars
1$66,3001,300
2$67,6362,636
3$68,9783,978
4$70,3545,354
5$71,7646,164

Next, let's analyze how much Jaques earned with the SP500. Note that the initial amount is the same as Pierre's. $65,000!

For this exercise, I relied on annual investment returns between 2019 and 2023. From the official website of the VOO ETF, which replicates the SP5002 .

YearPercentage won or lost
2019+31.46%
2020+18.35%
2021+28.66%
2022-18.15%
2023+26.25%
Total+86.57%

🔍 We conclude that with a salary of $65,000, if we analyze past performance. It was almost 3x more profitable to let an S&P 500 ETF perform than to receive a $21.3T annual raise.

Money earned in 5 years
Rock
(salary increase of 2% per year)
$19,532
Jacques
(SP500 performance from 2019 to 2023)
$56,270

In addition, it should not be forgotten that in order to obtain an annual salary increase, the agreement of a boss, a regulation or the company's finances is required.

In reality, taxation depends on your country of residence as well as the country of origin of your investment.

Why? According to the tax system in my canton, the money an investor invests in a share is a fortune, while the money received from a salary is income.

Taxation
Money in a stock or ETFFortune
DividendsIncome
SalaryIncome

Here are 2 examples that I simulated directly from VaudTax. The official tax tool of the canton of Vaud 😉

In both situations, I simulated the same person. That is, a man born in 1990. Living in Nyon, Switzerland. Of Swiss origin. No children.

First, I simulated an annual net salary of CHF 65,000 for an employee at 100%. And I deducted CHF 2,890 in home-work transport.

Result, by simulating the salary of 65,000 CHF and deducting the transport costs linked to the job. This person will pay 10,191 CHF in taxes. 😬

Note that I have not considered other deductions such as health insurance premiums for example. This example focuses only on taxes related to salary!

Then I simulated the same person not having a job but having a fortune of 65,000 CHF. By owning 650 shares at 100 CHF in a stock market in Switzerland. That is, 65,000 CHF in a Swiss share in CHF.

Also note that this person does not receive any dividends.

Result, This person will ultimately pay... only 82.50 CHF in taxes.🫡

Note that the difference is huge in this case! Indeed, there is more than 10,000 CHF difference in taxes!😮

Tax payable
Salary 65,000 CHF 10'191 CHF
Action at 65,000 CHF82.50 CHF

Everyone will have their own opinion about the risks between investing in an SP500 or working and receiving salary increases. And I respect everyone's opinion.

  • In the last 10 years (2013-2023), an SP500 has increased in value 8 times out of 10. How many bosses give their employees a raise 8 years out of 10?
  • Between December 2014 and December 2024, an SP500 increased by 248%. How many bosses give increases of 248% in 10 years?
  • A salary increase depends on the choice of a single boss or institution (or a few clients for an independent). While the financial performance of an SP500 is dependent on 500 shares.

1 – Historically, with an average salary. A SP500 is much more profitable than receiving 2% annual increase.

2 – Taxing a stock or ETF without a dividend is more favorable than receiving a salary or a raise.

Plus, in my opinion, there is a greater risk of not getting a raise than there is of making money with the S&P 500.

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