We like to get raises. However, I wanted to look into this issue. Salary Raises vs. SP500 Profits?
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⚠️ This article contains past data that are not guarantees for the future. Investing involves a risk of losing money!
Simulation – Salary Increase VS SP500 Profits
For this article, I simulated two fictional characters. Pierre and Jaquier.
I imagined that 5 years ago, Peter received a salary of $65,000. And he got an annual raise of $2% for 5 years.
On the other hand, Jaquier had $65,000 in the VOO ETF 5 years ago. It is an ETF that replicates the S&P500. That is, the 500 best stocks in the American stock market. And he let his money grow without adding anything.
The question is who made the most money? 🤔
Pierre and the annual salary increase of 2%
For this exercise, I relied on the moneyland percentage calculator1. I simply put in an initial amount of $65,000 and updated the salary by 2 % each year for 5 years.
Here is the result 😉
| Year | Salary | Amount won compared to 65,000 Dollars |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | $66,300 | 1,300 |
| 2 | $67,636 | 2,636 |
| 3 | $68,978 | 3,978 |
| 4 | $70,354 | 5,354 |
| 5 | $71,764 | 6,164 |
👉 In the end, Pierre earned $19,532 in 5 years.
Jaques and the increase of the SP500
Next, let's analyze how much Jaques earned with the SP500. Note that the initial amount is the same as Pierre's. $65,000!
For this exercise, I relied on annual investment returns between 2019 and 2023. From the official website of the VOO ETF, which replicates the SP5002 .
| Year | Percentage won or lost |
|---|---|
| 2019 | +31.46% |
| 2020 | +18.35% |
| 2021 | +28.66% |
| 2022 | -18.15% |
| 2023 | +26.25% |
| Total | +86.57% |
👉 In this case, 5 years later, despite stock market fluctuations, Pierre has earned $56,270!
(⚠️ Past performance is no guarantee for the future!)
Salary Increases VS SP500 Profits – Conclusion
🔍 We conclude that with a salary of $65,000, if we analyze past performance. It was almost 3x more profitable to let an S&P 500 ETF perform than to receive a $21.3T annual raise.
| Money earned in 5 years | |
|---|---|
| Rock (salary increase of 2% per year) | $19,532 |
| Jacques (SP500 performance from 2019 to 2023) | $56,270 |
In addition, it should not be forgotten that in order to obtain an annual salary increase, the agreement of a boss, a regulation or the company's finances is required.
👉 While to benefit from the performance of an SP500. You need the agreement of … Nobody. You just have to invest and let time pass!👍
Taxes – Salary 65,000 CHF or Fortune 65,000 CHF?
Regarding taxes, is earning money from stock market income more taxable than money earned from a salary? 🤔
In reality, taxation depends on your country of residence as well as the country of origin of your investment.
👉 For example, in my canton of residence. From a tax point of view. The accumulation of stock market capital is less taxable compared to a salary.
Why? According to the tax system in my canton, the money an investor invests in a share is a fortune, while the money received from a salary is income.
| Taxation | |
|---|---|
| Money in a stock or ETF | Fortune |
| Dividends | Income |
| Salary | Income |
👉 In reality, This difference can translate into thousands of CHF saved in taxes per year!
2 Taxation Examples – Income VS Wealth
Here are 2 examples that I simulated directly from VaudTax. The official tax tool of the canton of Vaud 😉
In both situations, I simulated the same person. That is, a man born in 1990. Living in Nyon, Switzerland. Of Swiss origin. No children.
1 – 65,000 CHF in income (salary)
First, I simulated an annual net salary of CHF 65,000 for an employee at 100%. And I deducted CHF 2,890 in home-work transport.
Result, by simulating the salary of 65,000 CHF and deducting the transport costs linked to the job. This person will pay 10,191 CHF in taxes. 😬

Note that I have not considered other deductions such as health insurance premiums for example. This example focuses only on taxes related to salary!
2 – 65,000 CHF on the stock market
Then I simulated the same person not having a job but having a fortune of 65,000 CHF. By owning 650 shares at 100 CHF in a stock market in Switzerland. That is, 65,000 CHF in a Swiss share in CHF.
Also note that this person does not receive any dividends.
Result, This person will ultimately pay... only 82.50 CHF in taxes.🫡

Income VS Wealth - Result
👉 From a tax perspective, it is probably better to have money in a stock (or ETF) than to receive a salary.
Note that the difference is huge in this case! Indeed, there is more than 10,000 CHF difference in taxes!😮
| Tax payable | |
|---|---|
| Salary 65,000 CHF | 10'191 CHF |
| Action at 65,000 CHF | 82.50 CHF |
The risks of losing money
Everyone will have their own opinion about the risks between investing in an SP500 or working and receiving salary increases. And I respect everyone's opinion.
On the other hand, in my opinion, I think investing in an ETF is safer than hoping to receive salary increases. For several reasons:
- In the last 10 years (2013-2023), an SP500 has increased in value 8 times out of 10. How many bosses give their employees a raise 8 years out of 10?
- Between December 2014 and December 2024, an SP500 increased by 248%. How many bosses give increases of 248% in 10 years?
- A salary increase depends on the choice of a single boss or institution (or a few clients for an independent). While the financial performance of an SP500 is dependent on 500 shares.
Therefore, in my opinion (not a guarantee!). Regarding the long term probabilities. The probability of making money with an S&P 500 ETF is much higher than a possible salary increase!
Conclusion
▶️ In conclusion, it is twice as advantageous to earn money with an SP500 than with possible salary increases of 2% per year.
1 – Historically, with an average salary. A SP500 is much more profitable than receiving 2% annual increase.
2 – Taxing a stock or ETF without a dividend is more favorable than receiving a salary or a raise.
Plus, in my opinion, there is a greater risk of not getting a raise than there is of making money with the S&P 500.
Therefore, even if I am the first to celebrate a salary increase. We conclude that working hard is not always the best way to earn money. In fact, in this situation, it is even the opposite!
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Salary Increases vs SP500 Profits





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