SP500 SMI and Bitcoin Comparison: Which Investment to Choose?

Caution ⚠️ This article reflects a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Investing carries a risk of losing money. Past performance is no guarantee of future results!

👉 The SP500 is a stock market index that replicates the performance of the top 500 US stocks (USA).

Note that the SP500 is also known as the S&P500.

The goal of this stock index for a stock market investor is to track the stock market performance of all 500 major U.S. stocks.

👉 The SMI is a stock market index that tracks the performance of the top 20 Swiss stocks.

For a stock market investor, the SMI allows you to track the stock market performance of all 20 Swiss stocks.

👉 Bitcoin is the most traded cryptocurrency in the world.

In reality, Bitcoin is simply a virtual currency, also known as cryptocurrency.

For example, with the SP500, the stock index blindly tracks the performance of the top 500 US stocks. And in reality, the performance will be reflected in the stock market performance of all stocks.

If you decide to invest in a stock index, it's very likely that you'll want to use an ETF.

Moreover, there are ETFs that cost less than 50 Swiss francs or less than 50 euros, but which hold hundreds of shares.

⚠️ Every investor has a different perspective on investment safety! This article represents my views only and does not constitute investment advice!
  • SP500 – I give it a score of 8/10.

In my opinion, The risk of losing all the money with an SP500 is relatively low. Because there are approximately 500 shares traded.

Additionally, among the 500 US stocks traded, there are well-known multinationals that sell their products every day around the world, such as Apple, McDonald's, and Coca-Cola.

Not forgetting that The US stock market is the largest stock market in the world!

For example, as I write this, of the 25 global stocks with the largest market capitalization, 22 are US stocks.

  • SMI – I give it a score of 7/10.

In my opinion, The risk of losing all of the money invested in an SMI ETF is relatively low. This is because there are "only" 20 stocks traded.

Furthermore, it should be noted that the Swiss stock market is very limited. In reality, there are only 4 or 5 Swiss stocks that make "competition" to the US stock market.

  • Bitcoin – I give it a score of 5/10.

In my opinion, The risk of losing all the money invested is medium with bitcoin. Indeed, although Bitcoin is traded globally. In reality, Bitcoin is a virtual investment and the value is very volatile.

Additionally, with Bitcoin, there is only one crypto being traded.

⚠️ Please note that I cannot predict or guarantee future performance or yield❗

However, I have analyzed the past performance of each stock market strategy in this article. And I repeat, this is not a guarantee of future performance.

  1. Bitcoin (132%)
  2. SP500 (38%)
  3. SMI 500 (5%)
  1. Bitcoin (850%)
  2. SP500 (80%)
  3. SMI 500 (15%)

🔍 On the other hand, we note that the annualized return is more regular with an SP500 than with a Bitcoin!

Now, let's analyze the fluctuation of the past performance of each investment.

November 2021 to July 2022 = -55%

July 15, 2024 to August 5, 2024 = -7%

July 15, 2024 to August 5, 2024 = -6%

(source: zonebourse1)

It's quite simple to explain!

In reality, the more stocks there are in an ETF, the lower the volatility should be (⚠️in theory)! In fact, the more shares there are in the ETF, the more the return is “neutralized” by the performance of all the shares.

Conversely, the fewer stocks there are in an ETF, the more weight each stock has on the ETF's performance. Unsurprisingly, the ETF's price fluctuation is more variable.

SMISP500
Number of shares20500
1st action investedNestlé (17.1%)Apple (7.2%)
2nd action investedRock (15.8%)NVIDIA (6%)
3rd action investedNovartis (14,1%)Microsoft (5.8%)
% of the first 3 stocks in the ETF47%19%

In the case of bitcoin, it is a simple virtual currency ⚠️

Therefore, it is not a surprise that Bitcoin's value has larger return spikes compared to an ETF that holds multiple stocks.

In addition, Bitcoin, unlike a stock, does not produce anything physical.. Because it is simply a virtual currency. Therefore, this aspect allows for greater stock market speculation regarding Bitcoin compared to an ETF.

  • Bitcoin = 1 single virtual cryptocurrency
  • SMI = 20 shares (first 3 shares = + 45% of the ETF)
  • SP500 = 500 shares (first 3 shares = – of 20% of the ETF)

Here is an average of the dividends distributed per year over the last 3 years (2022-2025).

Bitcoin is a single cryptocurrency. Therefore, There are no management fees for holding a bitcoin (except for the transaction).

The majority of shareholders own an SP500 through an ETF. Typically, the management fees (TER) of the investment fund for an SP500 ETF are less than 0.05%.

Unlike the SP500 ETF, there are not many SMI ETFs. Therefore, this low competition favors management fees (TER) of a rather high SMI ETF, around 0.20%

Note that a trading account requires a commission because it is a financial intermediary between the shareholder and the share (or cryptocurrency).

👉 Therefore, The SP500 is generally the one that charges the least commissions for buying or selling. With a cheap stock market account like Interactive Brokers, for example.

🔍 It's important to note that stock market investors don't always have the same long-term stock market goals!

Therefore, his goal is for the stock to increase its price quickly in order to sell as quickly as possible!

For example, if Apple stock lost -20% in 3 months, the active investor will buy a lot of Apple stock with the hope of selling it for +20% (or more) a few months later.

In this example, the active investor waits for the stock to fall in price in order to buy in large quantities (in red). Then, they will wait for a significant market valuation in order to sell at a good profit (in green), over the shortest possible period.

Note that this method of investing is very speculative!

In this case, the passive shareholder seeks to buy a stock (or ETF) and let it grow for many years! In order to promote good growth of the stock over a long period!

For example, a passive shareholder buys Apple stock today without analyzing the current financial market. And they won't sell their Apple stock for many years.

In the meantime, he hopes that the stock will increase significantly in value. Although he is aware that the stock will have periods of stock market depression and periods of strong growth.

In this example, we conclude that the passive investor is looking for an exponential return over several years, taking advantage of compound interest over a long period.

🔍 In short, passive shareholders don't analyze the stock market! They buy a growth stock as quickly as possible and try to hold it for as long as possible. This is to promote stock market growth.

Unlike the active shareholder, who waits to buy a stock at a "discount" price and wants to sell quickly as soon as the stock becomes "overpriced," the active investor is therefore playing with stock market speculation.

BitcoinSP500SMI
Investment type1 Cryptocurrency500 US stocks20 Swiss stocks
Investment countryGlobalUSA
(but traded globally)
Swiss
Investment security
(in my opinion)
5/108/107/10
Past performance over 5 years (before 2025)👍👍👍
(850% in 5 years)
👍👍
(80% in 5 years)
👌
(15% in 5 years)
Price stability 👎👎👌👌
ETF/Crypto Management Fees👍👍👍👍👍👌
Dividends distributed👎👍👍👍
Purchase commissions
(trading account)
👌👍👍👍
Passive investing
(In my opinion)
👌👍👍👍👍
Active investment
(In my opinion)
👍👍👎👎

With this chart, in my opinion, although the performance of bitcoin is incredible. I believe that investing in an SP500 ETF is more comprehensive, more stable, with more consistent performance compared to Bitcoin and SMI.

  1. SP500
  2. SMI and Bitcoin

However, Bitcoin is very attractive for investors who like to invest actively. That is, shareholders who are used to buying and selling stock market assets regularly.

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